Wednesday, August 23, 2006


...even in childbearing rates?  The democrats just can't seem to win. 

I first heard about this story on Special Report with Brit Hume on FOXNews last night.  Then, as I skimmed through the blogs last night, I noticed that the folks at Blogs for Bush also had a piece on the new-found trend that suggests Republicans are producing up to 41% more children than Democrats. More from Arthur Brooks at The Wallstreet Journal:

The Fertility Gap: Liberal politics will prove fruitless as long as liberals refuse to multiply.

Simply put, liberals have a big baby problem: They're not having enough of them, they haven't for a long time, and their pool of potential new voters is suffering as a result. According to the 2004 General Social Survey, if you picked 100 unrelated politically liberal adults at random, you would find that they had, between them, 147 children. If you picked 100 conservatives, you would find 208 kids. That's a "fertility gap" of 41%. Given that about 80% of people with an identifiable party preference grow up to vote the same way as their parents, this gap translates into lots more little Republicans than little Democrats to vote in future elections.

This really shouldn't be surprising to most of us. Thanks to the stranglehold on power that the most leftward leaning branch of the Democratic party seems to have, "liberal" has come to represent the "anti-family values party", or maybe they're just anti-family in general?

The report indicates that if the trend continues, republicans could see slight majority's in traditionally 'blue' states, such as California, and all-out political domination in swing states such as Ohio:

Alarmingly for the Democrats, the gap is widening at a bit more than half a percentage point per year, meaning that today's problem is nothing compared to what the future will most likely hold. Consider future presidential elections in a swing state (like Ohio), and assume that the current patterns in fertility continue. A state that was split 50-50 between left and right in 2004 will tilt right by 2012, 54% to 46%. By 2020, it will be certifiably right-wing, 59% to 41%. A state that is currently 55-45 in favor of liberals (like California) will be 54-46 in favor of conservatives by 2020--and all for no other reason than babies.

And the democrat's reaction to it all?

As one liberal columnist in a major paper graphically put it, "Maybe the scales are tipping to the neoconservative, homogenous right in our culture simply because they tend not to give much of a damn for the ramifications of wanton breeding and environmental destruction and pious sanctimony, whereas those on the left actually seem to give a whit for the health of the planet and the dire effects of overpopulation."

Wow!  How does one respond to that? Perhaps Mark Noonan at Blogs for Bush said it best, "The left cares so much about the world that they are essentially committing suicide? Well, by all means, if that is what you want..."

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